Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Whanganui Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.6%
Win probability
4.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.2%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.7%
7-0
4.3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5.3%
6-0
7.3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.3%
5-0
10.5%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
14%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
3.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
3.9%
1.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
5º
2º
5
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
MIR
73%
16%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 3
WEL
12%
15%
73%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 3
WEL
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
WSU
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 0
STO
94%
5%
2%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Whanganui Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PET
2 - 0
WAF
91%
7%
3%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
WAF
78%
13%
9%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
WKA
3 - 1
WAF
91%
6%
2%
|
8 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 2
MIR
3%
8%
89%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
WSU
7 - 1
WAF
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |