Wellington Phoenix II vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
5º
40
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WEL
10%
13%
78%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 2
PET
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 0
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 2
WEL
84%
11%
6%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
3 - 2
WSU
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WSU
91%
6%
2%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 7
WSU
16%
17%
67%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
8 - 3
WSU
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WSU
1 - 2
WEL
15%
16%
69%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |