Wellington Phoenix II vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
5º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 3
WEL
10%
13%
77%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
WEL
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
WEL
15%
16%
69%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
IBU
89%
7%
4%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
PET
77%
13%
10%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 3
WKA
65%
16%
18%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
IBU
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
4 - 1
STO
71%
16%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |