Wellington Phoenix II vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
0 - 3
AUC
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TAS
3 - 2
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
2 - 3
CAN
24%
24%
51%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 5
WAI
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 0
WEL
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
TAS
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
WAI
1 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |