Wellington Phoenix II vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
HAW
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 1
WEL
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AUC
4 - 2
WEL
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
4 - 1
WEL
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
WEL
3 - 4
WAI
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 3
TEA
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
6 - 0
SOU
74%
15%
11%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
HAW
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
3 - 0
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AUC
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |