Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
6 - 3
WEL
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
WAN
2 - 1
WEL
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
WEL
3 - 4
TEA
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 3
WEL
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
WEL
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AUC
4 - 2
SOU
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
3 - 1
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 3
CAN
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
WAI
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
WAN
3 - 3
SOU
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |