Wellington Phoenix II vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
9º
7º
1
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 4
WEL
50%
20%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 5
EAS
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
WEL
56%
20%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
NAP
79%
13%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 6
WEL
11%
15%
74%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 1
PET
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
PET
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
AFC
15%
17%
68%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
PET
84%
10%
5%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |