Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
WKA
62%
17%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 3
WEL
10%
13%
77%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
WEL
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
WEL
15%
16%
69%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
IBU
89%
7%
4%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 2
NWA
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NWA
2 - 3
NAP
9%
13%
78%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WSU
12%
15%
72%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
NWA
77%
13%
10%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 6
MIR
10%
14%
76%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |