Wellington Phoenix II vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
1.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 0
WEL
8%
14%
78%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
4 - 0
HNW
93%
6%
1%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 3
WEL
35%
23%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
WEL
49%
23%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
PET
0 - 3
WEL
4%
11%
84%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 4
HNW
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 1
NWA
93%
6%
2%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NWA
5 - 1
WSU
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 2
NWA
65%
17%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
NWA
3 - 2
NAP
13%
15%
71%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +2 |