Wellington Phoenix II vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
14.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
5º
40
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 1
WSU
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WEL
10%
13%
78%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 2
PET
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 0
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 2
WEL
84%
11%
6%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 0
STO
74%
14%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
1 - 5
NAP
46%
20%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 3
WEL
6%
12%
82%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 3
NAP
71%
15%
14%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 5
EAS
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |