Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
5º
2º
30
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STO
3 - 3
WEL
8%
13%
79%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 3
NWA
94%
5%
2%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
WEL
68%
18%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
WEL
10%
14%
77%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 1
WAF
95%
4%
1%
|
44 | 8 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
WAF
94%
5%
2%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WKA
0 - 3
NAP
45%
21%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 3
NAP
67%
16%
18%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 3
WKA
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
1 - 3
NAP
49%
20%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |