Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
5º
35
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 4
NWA
81%
12%
8%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 2
WKA
62%
17%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 3
WEL
10%
13%
77%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
WEL
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
WEL
15%
16%
69%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MIR
6 - 0
TAW
81%
11%
8%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
MIR
15%
16%
69%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 3
WKA
65%
16%
18%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 0
MIR
89%
7%
3%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 3
NAP
60%
18%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |