Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Island Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
9º
5º
12
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 2
WEL
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 6
NAP
69%
16%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 1
WSU
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WEL
10%
13%
78%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 6
WEL
9%
14%
78%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IBU
2 - 3
NWA
59%
19%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PET
2 - 3
IBU
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
IBU
0 - 2
MIR
9%
13%
78%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |