Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TEA
4 - 1
WEL
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
WEL
3 - 1
HAW
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 2
WEL
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
TAS
0 - 2
WEL
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
WEL
2 - 2
SOU
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
HAW
2 - 2
HAW
77%
15%
9%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAN
3 - 0
HAW
42%
25%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
HAW
1 - 1
TAS
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
HAW
1 - 3
WAI
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AUC
5 - 0
HAW
60%
21%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |