Wellington Phoenix II vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WEL
6 - 2
SOU
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
6 - 3
WEL
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
WAN
2 - 1
WEL
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
WEL
3 - 4
TEA
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 3
WEL
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 2
WAI
46%
24%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 1
WAN
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 0
HAW
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HAW
0 - 3
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
HAW
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |