Wellington Phoenix II vs Havelock North Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.4%
4-0
13.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.6%
1.4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 3
WEL
35%
23%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
WEL
49%
23%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
PET
0 - 3
WEL
4%
11%
84%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 1
WSU
88%
9%
4%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
WEL
5%
13%
82%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Havelock North Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 3
MIR
5%
12%
83%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
WSU
4 - 1
HNW
70%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 2
WKA
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
HNW
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
WEL
10 - 0
HNW
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |