Wellington Phoenix Reserves vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 1
CAN
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 3
WEL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WEL
6 - 2
SOU
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
6 - 3
WEL
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 0
WAI
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
CAN
74%
16%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 0
TEA
53%
21%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AUC
4 - 2
SOU
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |