Wellington Olympic vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
24
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STO
1 - 6
WEL
11%
15%
74%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 1
WKA
86%
9%
5%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WSU
91%
6%
2%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 3
WEL
6%
12%
82%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 3
AUC
56%
20%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 6
NAP
69%
16%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 1
WSU
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WEL
10%
13%
78%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 2
PET
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 0
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |