Wellington Olympic vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 2
CAS
23%
20%
57%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 5
WEL
14%
16%
71%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 3
WEL
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
NAP
0 - 4
WEL
14%
16%
70%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
5 - 0
PET
92%
6%
2%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 1
PET
79%
13%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WUF
4 - 2
WKA
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 2
NWA
65%
17%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 2
WKA
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WKA
0 - 4
MIR
7%
11%
82%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -2 |