Wellington Olympic vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
9
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
PET
1 - 5
WEL
9%
14%
77%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 0
MIR
89%
7%
3%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 6
WEL
9%
14%
78%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 2
WEL
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STO
1 - 6
WEL
11%
15%
74%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NWA
2 - 3
NAP
9%
13%
78%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WSU
12%
15%
72%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
NWA
77%
13%
10%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 6
MIR
10%
14%
76%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IBU
2 - 3
NWA
59%
19%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |