Wellington Olympic vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
35
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 6
WEL
9%
14%
78%
|
50 | 11 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 2
WEL
87%
9%
4%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STO
1 - 6
WEL
11%
15%
74%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 1
WKA
86%
9%
5%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
WSU
91%
6%
2%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 3
NAP
60%
18%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 6
MIR
10%
14%
76%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
3 - 2
WSU
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
IBU
0 - 2
MIR
9%
13%
78%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |