Wellington Olympic vs Island Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
12
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 0
MAN
86%
9%
5%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
STO
87%
8%
4%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
8 - 0
STO
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WKA
0 - 5
WEL
10%
15%
75%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
0 - 1
WEL
5%
11%
84%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 5
NAP
9%
13%
78%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 4
IBU
73%
14%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
0 - 3
PET
17%
18%
65%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MIR
5 - 0
IBU
92%
6%
3%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 25 | 17 | 0 |