Wellington Olympic vs Havelock North Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 2
WEL
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SEA
0 - 8
WEL
6%
11%
83%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
WEL
4 - 0
WSU
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 1
WEL
13%
16%
71%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 0
NAP
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Havelock North Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 1
PET
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
WAF
3 - 1
HNW
10%
14%
76%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
WUF
0 - 3
HNW
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 3
NWA
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HNW
1 - 1
WEL
6%
13%
81%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |