Wellington Olympic vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
2º
2º
16
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 1
PET
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 3
WEL
23%
20%
57%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 2
EAS
71%
16%
13%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 3
WEL
23%
20%
58%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
8 - 1
NAP
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 1
NAP
78%
13%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
PET
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 2
MAN
86%
10%
5%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
CHR
37%
23%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 0
WEL
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |