Welling United vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
WEL
3 - 0
KID
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 2
EAS
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
WOK
2 - 2
WEL
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
WEL
0 - 2
GRI
24%
27%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
5 - 0
WEL
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GRI
0 - 1
WRE
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 2
WRE
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
WRE
4 - 0
ALF
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
WRE
1 - 1
DOV
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 3
WRE
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |