Welling United vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 3
WEL
22%
24%
55%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 0
WEL
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WEL
0 - 0
SUT
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 4
WEL
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
WOK
2 - 1
WEL
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
THU
1 - 0
BOR
23%
26%
52%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WOK
5 - 1
THU
72%
19%
10%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
THU
65%
19%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WHI
3 - 0
THU
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
THU
2 - 0
DOR
26%
26%
49%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |