Welling United vs St. Albans City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
WEL
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 2
WES
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 2
BIS
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
OXF
2 - 1
WEL
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 4
CHA
15%
23%
63%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
CHM
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
3 - 0
STA
24%
25%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
WEA
2 - 2
STA
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
STA
2 - 0
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
STA
2 - 3
STE
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |