Welling United vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 2
WEL
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 1
WRE
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
WEL
3 - 0
KID
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 2
EAS
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
WOK
2 - 2
WEL
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
GRI
26%
28%
46%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
BRA
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 3
AFC
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 0
SOU
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |