Welling United vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 0
WEL
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 2
LUT
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
KID
2 - 0
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
WEL
0 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 2
WEL
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
HAL
28%
25%
48%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
GAT
2 - 2
SOU
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
TAM
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 1
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |