Welling United vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
WHI
2 - 3
WEL
39%
25%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WEL
2 - 1
HAM
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 0
WEL
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 2
DOR
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WEL
0 - 0
DOV
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 1
ARL
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 2
DAR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
SUT
5 - 0
SAL
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
CHM
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WOK
0 - 0
SAL
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |