Welling United vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
KID
2 - 1
WEL
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
WEL
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 2
DAR
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALT
0 - 4
WEL
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 1
GAT
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
NUN
3 - 2
DOV
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NUN
2 - 1
LIN
24%
24%
51%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
WOK
1 - 0
NUN
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NUN
1 - 2
DAR
44%
27%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
NUN
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |