Welling United vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 0
GAT
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 1
WEL
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 3
WEL
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 2
ALF
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
GAT
1 - 1
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
MAC
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WOK
3 - 2
MAC
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
LUT
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 2
CHE
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 1
LIN
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |