Welling United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 0
LIN
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BRI
0 - 1
WEL
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 0
WEL
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
WEL
2 - 0
TAM
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 3
WEL
41%
25%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GAT
0 - 0
LUT
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
WOK
0 - 1
LUT
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TAM
3 - 4
LUT
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LUT
4 - 1
HYD
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
ALD
3 - 3
LUT
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |