Welling United vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 1
WEL
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 1
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GRI
2 - 0
WEL
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 1
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
EAS
3 - 1
WEL
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 3
BRO
52%
24%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 2
GRI
41%
27%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
WOK
3 - 1
LIN
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 3
GUL
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
HAL
3 - 2
LIN
56%
22%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |