Welling United vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BRI
0 - 1
WEL
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 0
WEL
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
WEL
2 - 0
TAM
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 3
WEL
41%
25%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 1
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
3 - 0
WOR
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 1
LIN
32%
25%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
KID
4 - 1
LIN
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 1
ALD
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 0
TAM
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |