Welling United vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BRO
2 - 1
WEL
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
WEL
3 - 2
CHM
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HAV
1 - 3
WEL
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
DOV
2 - 2
WEL
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 0
HAM
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LEW
0 - 3
DOV
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
WOK
2 - 1
LEW
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LEW
0 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
LEW
2 - 1
THU
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
STA
1 - 0
LEW
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |