Welling United vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
WEL
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
WEL
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 1
LIN
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 0
WEL
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 2
BRO
28%
25%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
WEL
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 0
LEW
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 2
LEA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HAN
1 - 2
GRA
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 3
KIN
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |