FA Cup 1/512
Global 6-4
Welling United vs Gosport Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 2
WEL
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 2
WEL
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DAR
2 - 3
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
BAT
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 0
WEL
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 2
WEL
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 0
AFT
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MER
1 - 4
GOS
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOS
3 - 0
CRI
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
POO
2 - 0
GOS
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |