Welling United vs Eastbourne Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HAY
2 - 1
WEL
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
WEL
2 - 2
SUT
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TON
1 - 1
WEL
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
CHM
2 - 3
WEL
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 0
WEL
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 2
MAI
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
DOV
0 - 0
EAS
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
BIL
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 0
BRO
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
EAS
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |