FA Trophy 1/64
Global 2-3
Welling United vs Dulwich Hamlet FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
3 - 1
WES
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 1
WEA
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
STA
2 - 0
WEL
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
WEL
3 - 1
GLO
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
WOK
1 - 0
WEL
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dulwich Hamlet FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
DUL
0 - 1
OXF
48%
23%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WHI
3 - 2
DUL
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
DUL
3 - 3
WES
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DUL
1 - 0
STA
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BIL
1 - 1
DUL
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |