Welling United vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 1
WEL
25%
25%
51%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
WEL
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WEL
4 - 0
MAI
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DOR
3 - 2
WEL
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 2
WOK
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DOV
1 - 1
HAV
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
DOV
0 - 0
FAR
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WOK
3 - 1
DOV
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DOV
0 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CHM
2 - 3
DOV
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |