Welling United vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SLO
1 - 0
WEL
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WEL
2 - 1
BAT
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 1
WEL
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
WES
0 - 1
WEL
24%
25%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
WEL
3 - 3
WOK
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 0
WOK
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
STA
3 - 1
CHM
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 1
OXF
58%
21%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
WHI
0 - 3
CHM
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 2
WES
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |