Welling United vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
WHI
3 - 2
WEL
39%
23%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
DOV
5 - 0
WEL
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAT
2 - 1
WEL
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
WEL
1 - 2
HAM
27%
24%
50%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
CHM
3 - 1
WEL
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CHM
2 - 0
GLO
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
EBB
2 - 1
CHM
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 2
CHM
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
CHM
0 - 0
DAR
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HUN
1 - 1
CHM
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |