Welling United vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HAV
1 - 3
WEL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
DOV
2 - 2
WEL
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 0
HAM
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WEL
1 - 1
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
WES
1 - 2
WEL
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CHM
3 - 0
EAS
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
CHM
3 - 0
WOK
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 3
CHM
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HAV
5 - 2
CHM
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CHM
1 - 0
WOR
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |