Welling United vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
HEM
1 - 2
WEL
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
WEL
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 4
CHM
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 1
WEL
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SLO
4 - 4
WEL
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BIL
2 - 0
SLO
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
HEM
1 - 4
BIL
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BIL
1 - 2
EBB
30%
25%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BIL
1 - 2
HAV
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BAT
2 - 0
BIL
51%
24%
26%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |