Welling United vs Basingstoke Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
WEL
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 1
THU
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
STA
1 - 0
WEL
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 0
FAR
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WOK
0 - 0
WEL
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
BOR
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
DOV
3 - 0
BAS
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 0
HAM
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BIS
0 - 2
BAS
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 4
MAI
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |