Welling United vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
64.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 0
TAU
51%
23%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
HAM
23%
24%
52%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HEM
1 - 2
WEL
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
CHM
1 - 0
WEL
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
CHE
7%
14%
79%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
WEA
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GAT
2 - 1
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 0
BAR
32%
25%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
BAR
28%
22%
51%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
DAG
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |