Welling United vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
EBB
1 - 1
WEL
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 2
WEL
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
WEL
0 - 0
BRO
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 0
WEL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 1
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
ROC
4 - 1
ALD
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ALD
0 - 1
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
ALD
0 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALD
0 - 0
ROC
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
WRE
3 - 1
ALD
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |