Welling United vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
WEL
18%
25%
57%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
WOK
0 - 1
WEL
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
WEL
3 - 0
HAY
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
WEL
3 - 1
BRO
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 3
WEL
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
BIL
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
WEL
18%
25%
57%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 0
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
WES
1 - 0
HOR
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
HAY
1 - 3
HOR
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |