Wellen vs Eendracht Termien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
14º
14º
4
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 56% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 29% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HOU
4 - 1
WEL
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 0
BED
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +4 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WEZ
3 - 1
WEL
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 0
KVV
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NIL
6 - 1
WEL
41%
23%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Eendracht Termien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
EEN
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EEN
2 - 1
TON
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 3
EEN
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EEN
2 - 3
HOU
47%
23%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EEN
1 - 1
KVT
51%
22%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |